At 10:15 p.m. est, we've got the results of the New Hampshire Republican and Democratic primaries. Right now, it looks like Hillary and her Trail of Tears is going to take the Democratic delegates in a very tight race over Obama, but John McCain has kicked some major ass on the Republican side. Huckabee, Chuck Norris, and creationism simply don't have the same appeal in the Granite State as they do among evangelical Iowans.
McCain won on the backs of the same independent voters that gave him New Hampshire in 2000 vs. George W. Bush. In fact, Johnny Mac likely took many votes from ... yes, Barack Obama. The open NH primary proved key. I like John McCain, but I think his chances are still low. The GOP is shaping into a WWF Cage Match. It is WIDE open. Look at the following possibilities heading into Super Tuesday on February 5th:
Iowa: Huckabee
New Hampshire: McCain
Michigan 1/15: Likely Mitt Romney
South Carolina 1/19: Likely Huckabee
Nevada 1/19: Giuliani has lead
Florida 1/29: Giuliani has lead
So leading into "Tsunami Tuesday," it will likely be neck-and-neck with NO clear leader. I don't think anyone knows who will be the last man standing. It's hard to imagine Giuliani, who may not post his first victory for another 2 weeks, and Fred Thompson is doing the dead man's float, but everyone else has a very legitimate chance.
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